Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Barrow (59'), Arnautovic (62')
Lykogiannis (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (54')
Kouame (46'), Amrabat (50'), Julio (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Bologna
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Empoli	5	-1	4
16	Bologna	5	-3	3
17	Lecce	5	-3	2

Fiorentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 RFS
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Salernitana	5	3	6
11	Fiorentina	5	0	6
12	Sassuolo	5	-2	6

We said: Bologna 1-2 Fiorentina

Fiorentina took plenty of shots at goal in midweek, but came away with only one goal, and with a little more precision they can take exploit Bologna's predicament on Sunday. The Viola do not fare well outside of Florence, but their hosts' confidence remains brittle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Fiorentina
37.54% ( -0.07)	25.57% ( 0.01)	36.89% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.72% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.72% (

-0.05)

48.28% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.57% (

-0.05)

70.43% (

0.05)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82% (

-0.06)

25.17% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1% (

-0.08)

59.9% (

0.08)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

0.01)

25.53% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61% (

0.01)

60.39% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bologna 37.54%

Fiorentina 36.89%

Draw 25.57%

Bologna	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 37.54%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.89%