Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Monza |
65.87% ( 0.06) | 18.7% ( 0.09) | 15.43% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 57.24% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.01% ( -0.72) | 35.99% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.91% ( -0.8) | 58.09% ( 0.8) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.8% ( -0.18) | 10.2% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.52% ( -0.42) | 33.48% ( 0.43) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.74% ( -0.63) | 36.26% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.96% ( -0.65) | 73.04% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Monza |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.05% Total : 65.87% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.7% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 15.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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