Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Salernitana |
59.59% ( 0.21) | 22.19% ( -0.02) | 18.22% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.17% ( -0.2) | 46.83% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.91% ( -0.18) | 69.09% ( 0.18) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.67% ( 0) | 15.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.93% ( 0) | 44.07% ( -0.01) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.51% ( -0.33) | 39.49% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.82% ( -0.31) | 76.18% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.36% Total : 59.58% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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