Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 8, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Estoril

Basso (72'), Fernandes (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 0-4 Casa Pia
Sunday, March 31 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Porto
Saturday, March 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Casa Pia X-Y Estoril Praia

Casa Pia aim to end their winless streak against Estoril and will feel like this is the perfect time to do so. However, their poor home form leaves a lot of doubts on that. Meanwhile, Estoril have also dug deep in their last two matches, showing the steely side. We expect a close match, possibly a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Estoril Praia
34.76% ( -0.26)	25.97% ( 0.07)	39.27% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 54.15% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.8% (

-0.33)

50.2% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.84% (

-0.3)

72.16% (

0.3)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.32)

27.68% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76% (

-0.41)

63.23% (

0.41)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88% (

-0.05)

25.12% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.18% (

-0.07)

59.82% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 34.76%

Estoril Praia 39.27%

Draw 25.96%

Casa Pia	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.76%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.27%