Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 31, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Do Vizela

Vizela
0 - 4
Casa Pia

Nascimento (27'), Soro (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Neto (25'), Cardoso (57', 70'), Larrazabal (90+1')
Neto (18'), Segovia (40'), Batista (41'), Varela (63'), Tchamba (65')
Tchamba (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 4-1 Vizela
Saturday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Benfica
Sunday, March 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

While Vizela have a very good recent record against this opponent, it is hard to back them with any real confidence this season, especially when taking into account that they currently possess the worst home record in the division. Casa Pia, on the other hand, have earned the bulk of their points on the road this term, and we feel they will come away from this one with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Casa Pia
46.51% ( -0.26)	25.45% ( 0.12)	28.03% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 52.96% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.56% (

-0.4)

50.44% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.63% (

-0.35)

72.37% (

0.35)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31% (

-0.28)

21.68% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.17% (

-0.43)

54.83% (

0.43)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62% (

-0.1)

32.38% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11% (

-0.11)

68.89% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Vizela 46.51%

Casa Pia 28.03%

Draw 25.45%

Vizela	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.51%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.03%