Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Nov 25, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
0 - 3
Lens

Kyei (33'), Gonalons (68')
Seidu (45+3'), Gastien (45+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wahi (11'), Thomasson (50'), Said (82')
Wahi (45+2'), Khusanov (70')
Wahi (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 1-0 Lorient
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

While a draw would not be a surprising outcome, Lens could nick a slender win in Clermont, extending their unbeaten run over the hosts and ending their opponent's two-game run without losing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Lens
27.78% ( -0.01)	26.17% ( -0.02)	46.05% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.57% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.53% (

0.08)

53.47% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.01% (

0.06)

74.99% (

-0.06)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.83% (

0.03)

34.17% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.13% (

0.04)

70.87% (

-0.03)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.82% (

0.05)

23.18% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.93% (

0.07)

57.07% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Clermont 27.78%

Lens 46.04%

Draw 26.17%

Clermont	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 27.78%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.04%