Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
1 - 3
Guimaraes

Otavio (63')
Moura (11'), Youssouf (71'), Assuncao (81'), Nathan (84')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mendes (1', 45+4'), Gaspar (77')
Silva (37'), Freitas (48'), Silva (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 2-2 Famalicao
Saturday, September 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 3-2 Estoril
Sunday, October 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Famalicao 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Famalicao and Vitoria de Guimaraes have enjoyed a decent start to the season and are currently separated by just one point in the top half of the table. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
43.73% ( -1.77)	27.26% ( 0.54)	29.01% ( 1.23)

Both teams to score 48.14% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.04% (

-1.42)

56.95% (

1.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.14% (

-1.15)

77.86% (

1.15)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.14% (

-1.52)

25.86% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.17% (

-2.1)

60.83% (

2.1)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.93% (

0.2)

35.07% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.18% (

0.21)

71.81% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 43.73%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 29.01%

Draw 27.26%

Famalicao	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.73%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.11% Total : 29.01%