Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Portimonense |
54.84% ( -0.52) | 25.51% ( -0.29) | 19.65% ( 0.81) |
Both teams to score 44.02% ( 1.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.3% ( 1.84) | 57.7% ( -1.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.55% ( 1.43) | 78.45% ( -1.43) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% ( 0.54) | 21.1% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.07% ( 0.83) | 53.93% ( -0.82) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.8% ( 2.01) | 44.21% ( -2.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.71% ( 1.6) | 80.29% ( -1.59) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 14.51% ( -0.79) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.1% Total : 54.84% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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