Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 16, 2023 at 2pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
3 - 1
Lazio

Vlahovic (10', 67'), Chiesa (26')
Miretti (8'), Bremer (16'), Gatti (61'), Cambiaso (77'), Vlahovic (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Alberto (64')
Pellegrini (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 1-2 Lazio
Saturday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Two of the best defensive teams in last season's Serie A meet on Saturday, but Lazio have proved more vulnerable at the back this term. While Juventus will win no prizes for flair, they can be ruthlessly efficient and are well-equipped on the counter, so the Old Lady may again get the better of visitors from the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Lazio
41.93% ( -0)	27.58%	30.49%

Both teams to score 47.92% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.43% (

-0)

57.57% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.65%

78.35% (

-0)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.92% (

-0)

27.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54% (

-0)

62.46% (

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.72%

34.27% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02%

70.97% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Juventus 41.93%

Lazio 30.49%

Draw 27.57%

Juventus	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.93%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.49%