Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Apr 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 1
Juventus

Milinkovic-Savic (38'), Zaccagni (53')
Provedel (78'), Milinkovic-Savic (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rabiot (42')
Bonucci (40'), Sandro (45'), Locatelli (45+3'), Cuadrado (50'), Miretti (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 0-2 Lazio
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Inter Milan
Tuesday, April 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

As Juventus usually set up to avoid leaking goals and then strike on the break, and Lazio certainly know how to keep the back door shut, a low-scoring encounter should be expected in the Eternal City. Leaving Stadio Olimpico with a point would represent a good result for Juve in normal times, but such is their deficit to the top four, a share of the spoils would leave them running out of time to close the gap. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Juventus
38.19% ( -0.84)	28.09% ( 0.07)	33.72% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 47.37% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.3% (

-0.12)

58.71% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.76% (

-0.09)

79.24% (

0.09)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

-0.56)

29.75% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.19% (

-0.68)

65.81% (

0.68)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.42% (

0.47)

32.58% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.88% (

0.52)

69.12% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Lazio 38.19%

Juventus 33.71%

Draw 28.08%

Lazio	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.19%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.71%