Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 16, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
0 - 1
Werder Bremen

Kainz (26'), Thielmann (77'), Huseinbasic (90+2'), Hubers (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Njinmah (70')
Schmid (26'), Weiser (77'), Bittencourt (88'), Malatini (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, February 11 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Koln 2-2 Werder Bremen

Goals at both ends are to be expected on Friday as the net has ripped four times on average in the last six meetings between these two teams. Bremen got the better of Koln five months ago and their recent away form bodes well heading to North Rhine-Westphalia, but we believe that the resurgent hosts will do enough to claim a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Werder Bremen
49.09% ( -0.02)	24.14% ( 0.01)	26.77% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.24% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33% (

-0.03)

45.67% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.01% (

-0.03)

67.99% (

0.03)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32% (

-0.01)

18.68% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.98% (

-0.03)

50.02% (

0.03)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

-0)

30.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

-0.01)

67.13% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 49.09%

Werder Bremen 26.77%

Draw 24.14%

FC Koln	Draw	Werder Bremen
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 49.09%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.14%	0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.77%