Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 8, 2023 at 8pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
1 - 0
Lens

de Jong (12')
Lozano (38'), Ramalho (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Machado (42'), Danso (43'), Wahi (45+1'), Sotoca (45+1'), Gradit (52'), Medina (53'), Guilavogui (82')
Guilavogui (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Heracles 0-6 PSV
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Lens
Saturday, November 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Lens

Expected recalls for Wahi and Thomasson in the final third should help Lens rediscover their bite in the final third, but they could certainly do with taking a leaf or two out of PSV's attacking playbook, even if Bosz's team have seen their powers wane continentally. Haise's troops have also proven time and time again that they are a force to reckon with defensively on the road, but we cannot see Les Sang et Or coming from behind to avoid defeat for a fourth time, as PSV harness their enviable firepower to blow Group B wide open. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Lens had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Lens
56.34% ( 0.03)	21.42% ( -0.01)	22.25% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.51% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.31% (

0.03)

37.69% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.07% (

0.03)

59.93% (

-0.03)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.7% (

0.02)

13.3% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.86% (

0.04)

40.14% (

-0.03)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.8% (

30.2% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.64% (

66.36% (

-0)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 56.34%

Lens 22.25%

Draw 21.42%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 56.34%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.42%	1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 22.25%