Spain U21s5 - 1Ukraine U21s
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, July 1 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Spain Under-21s | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Ukraine Under-21s | 3 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Croatia Under-21s | 3 | -3 | 1 |
4 | Romania Under-21s | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Spain Under-21s | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Ukraine Under-21s | 3 | 3 | 7 |
3 | Croatia Under-21s | 3 | -3 | 1 |
4 | Romania Under-21s | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Spain Under-21s 3-2 Ukraine Under-21s (after extra time)
Spain certainly start favourites, given their pedigree and recent form. However, Ukraine are no pushovers, having scored in each of their last 19 matches, losing on just two occasions. Both teams are strong in the final third, so several goals may be traded - with an extra 30 minutes potentially required to separate them. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 69.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 11.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Ukraine Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Spain Under-21s | Draw | Ukraine Under-21s |
69.39% | 18.65% | 11.96% |
Both teams to score 47.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.02% | 43.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.63% | 66.37% |
Spain Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.47% | 11.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.56% | 36.45% |
Ukraine Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.55% | 46.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.93% | 82.07% |
Score Analysis |
Spain Under-21s | Draw | Ukraine Under-21s |
2-0 @ 12.49% 1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 9% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-0 @ 4.86% 4-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-0 @ 2.1% 5-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.48% Total : 69.38% | 1-1 @ 8.87% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.75% Total : 18.65% | 0-1 @ 4.11% 1-2 @ 3.4% 0-2 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.94% Total : 11.96% |
How you voted: Winner Quarter-final 3 vs Winner Quarter-final 4
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |