European Under-21s Championship | Quarter-Finals

Jul 2, 2023 at 8pm UK

Cluj Arena

France U21s
1 - 3
Ukraine U21s

Cherki (19')
Thuram (58'), Nkounkou (67')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sudakov (32' pen., 44'), Bondarenko (86')
Kryskiv (51'), Vivcharenko (56'), Sikan (62')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-21 Championship clash between France Under-21s and Ukraine Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

France Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Switzerland U21s 1-4 France U21s
Wednesday, June 28 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Under-21s	3	5	9
2	Italy Under-21s	3	-1	3
3	Norway Under-21s	3	-1	3
4	Switzerland Under-21s	3	-3	3

Ukraine Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Spain U21s 2-2 Ukraine U21s
Tuesday, June 27 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Under-21s	3	4	7
2	Ukraine Under-21s	3	3	7
3	Croatia Under-21s	3	-3	1
4	Romania Under-21s	3	-4	1

We said: France Under-21s 2-1 Ukraine Under-21s (a.e.t)

Showcasing a penchant for goals ahead of a meeting with a leaky France backline, Ukraine have every right to dream of progression to the semi-finals, especially with Les Bleuets suffering two devastating injury blows in the past week. It would not be a shock to see the clock tick to 120 minutes at the Cluj Arena, but France's wealth of attacking talent in reserve could prove telling in extra time, potentially giving rise to a nervy win for Ripoll's team as Ukraine's journey comes to a close. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-21s win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Ukraine Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
France Under-21s	Draw	Ukraine Under-21s
44.44% ( -0.11)	25.02% ( 0.06)	30.55% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.92% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.72% (

-0.25)

47.28% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

-0.24)

69.5% (

0.24)

France Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

-0.16)

21.3% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.76% (

-0.24)

54.24% (

0.24)

Ukraine Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.05% (

-0.09)

28.95% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.17% (

-0.12)

64.83% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

France Under-21s 44.44%

Ukraine Under-21s 30.55%

Draw 25.02%

France Under-21s	Draw	Ukraine Under-21s
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.44%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.55%