Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor

Darmstadt
0 - 3
Dortmund

Maglica (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brandt (24'), Reus (77'), Moukoko (90+2')
Bynoe-Gittens (3'), Maatsen (31'), Reyna (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-3 Darmstadt
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 3-3 Standard Liege
Tuesday, January 9 at 10am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

Returning to winning ways is high on the agenda for these two out-of-form teams, but Dortmund will be regarded as the favourites to come out on top on Saturday and they should ultimately have too much for a defensively-frail Darmstadt side, who have already conceded a league-high 41 goals so far this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
35.01% ( 0.04)	22.52% ( -0)	42.47% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 66.8% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.22% (

0.02)

33.78% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.38% (

0.02)

55.62% (

-0.02)

SV Darmstadt 98 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.11% (

0.03)

19.89% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.99% (

0.05)

52.01% (

-0.04)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.39% (

-0.01)

16.62% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.57% (

-0.02)

46.44% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

SV Darmstadt 98 35.01%

Borussia Dortmund 42.47%

Draw 22.52%

SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.34% 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.01%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.52%	1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.54% Total : 42.47%