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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
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Marseille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Monaco

Metz
2 - 5
Monaco

Diallo (78'), Sane (84')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Minamino (4'), Akliouche (10'), Vanderson (16'), Balogun (76', 87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 2-1 Metz
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 1-2 Monaco

Monaco have surprisingly fared better recently on their travels, winning the last three at Nice (3-2), Lens (3-2) and Strasbourg (1-0) compared to picking up a point from six in recent home matches. The visitors are backed for another road success at Metz's expense, with the home team unlikely to avoid back-to-back losses. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawMonaco
31.67% (-0.343 -0.34) 25.61% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 42.72% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59% (-0.372 -0.37)49.41% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (-0.335 -0.34)71.45% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)29.26% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (-0.507 -0.51)65.22% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)23.01% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)56.82% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Metz 31.67%
    Monaco 42.72%
    Draw 25.6%
MetzDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.67%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 42.72%

How you voted: Metz vs Monaco

Metz
14.9%
Draw
14.9%
Monaco
70.2%
47
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 9
Monaco
2-1
Metz
Golovin (42', 55')
Matsima (67')
Camara (4')
Camara (53'), Tetteh (66'), N'Duquidi (74')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Metz
1-2
Monaco
Amadou (62')
Ben Yedder (46'), Boadu (72')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 17
Monaco
4-0
Metz
Diop (2'), Volland (44' pen.), Martins (57'), Ben Yedder (87')
Volland (49')

Bronn (78'), Traore (90')
Apr 6, 2021 5.45pm
Round of 16
Monaco
0-0
Metz
Monaco win 5-4 on penalties
Angban (65')
Apr 3, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 31
Monaco
4-0
Metz
Fabregas (50' pen.), Volland (52'), Ben Yedder (77', 89' pen.)

Ndiaga Yade (36'), Caillard (48'), Kouyate (85'), Boye (85'), Centonze (90')
Boye (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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