Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 1, 2023 at 6pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
0 - 2
Marseille

Traore (13'), Mollet (27'), Centonze (45+2'), Simon (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')
Malinovskyi (17'), Balerdi (79'), Lopez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Clermont 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Monaco
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes continued their perfect defensive record in 2023 on the weekend with a stalemate at Clermont Foot, but now face a Marseille team who have scored in each of their last 12 matches in all competitions. Tudor's side know that they cannot afford to drop points in successive fixtures if they are to challenge PSG and Lens for the title this season, and we expect them to earn maximum points at Stade de la Beaujoire on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Marseille
21.03% ( 0.43)	23.57% ( 0.36)	55.4% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 51.49% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19% (

-0.95)

48.81% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09% (

-0.87)

70.9% (

0.87)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.39% (

-0.1)

37.61% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.61% (

-0.1)

74.39% (

0.1)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53% (

-0.63)

17.47% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.05% (

-1.1)

47.94% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

Nantes 21.03%

Marseille 55.4%

Draw 23.56%

Nantes	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.61% Total : 21.03%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 10% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.82% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.64% Total : 55.4%