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Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
San Jose Earthquakes

Colorado
2 - 3
Earthquakes

Navarro (33'), Fernandez (42')
Mihailovic (15'), Navarro (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Pellegrino (44'), Lopez (45+6'), Espinoza (66')
Costa (68'), Wilson (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 0-2 Colorado
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Colorado Rapids 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes have certainly started to show signs of improvement after a dismal start to the season, but Colorado Rapids have been the stronger of the two sides thus far and had no trouble in cruising past the Quakes last time out. We back Chris Armas's side to again prevail on Sunday, albeit in a tougher test with the visitors growing in confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Colorado RapidsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
51.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.11% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.32% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (0.016999999999996 0.02)47.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.81% (-0.0089999999999861 -0.01)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.64%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (0.019000000000005 0.02)33.87% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (0.019000000000002 0.02)70.54% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Colorado Rapids 51.57%
    San Jose Earthquakes 24.32%
    Draw 24.1%
Colorado RapidsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 51.57%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.77%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.32%

How you voted: Colorado vs Earthquakes

Colorado Rapids
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-3
Colorado

Morales (32'), Marie (48'), Judd (80')
Navarro (10' pen., 60'), Bassett (80')
Bassett (37')
Jun 4, 2023 2.30am
Mar 12, 2023 3.30am
Sep 15, 2022 3am
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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Group E

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Group F

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3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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