Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
62.34% ( -0) | 19.71% ( 0.01) | 17.95% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.26% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64% ( -0.11) | 36% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.9% ( -0.12) | 58.09% ( 0.12) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.9% ( -0.04) | 11.09% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.51% ( -0.07) | 35.48% ( 0.07) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.65% ( -0.09) | 33.34% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.03% ( -0.09) | 69.96% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.6% 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 62.34% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.71% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 17.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |