Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Jan 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton
1 - 1
Crystal Palace

Andersen (87' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gallagher (69')
Eze (44'), Hughes (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Crystal Palace

Three of the last five Premier League meetings between these two sides have finished 1-1, while there has not been more than two goals in this fixture since March 2019, so it is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. A point would not be the worst result for either team, and we have had to settle on a stalemate here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Crystal Palace
53.73%	25.47%	20.8%

Both teams to score 45.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.64%

56.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.62%

77.38%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.99%

21.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.21%

53.79%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.83%

42.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.42%

78.58%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 53.73%

Crystal Palace 20.8%

Draw 25.47%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 13.82% 2-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 4.84% 4-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.2% Total : 53.73%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 7.65% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.16% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.1% Total : 20.8%