Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Gray (88')
Gordon (21'), Iwobi (35'), Onana (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Johnson (81')
Worrall (20'), Williams (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

Last Six:

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Everton
Saturday, August 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Southampton	2	-3	1
18	Everton	2	-2	0
19	West Ham United	2	-3	0

Nottingham Forest

Last Six:

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 West Ham
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Aston Villa	2	-1	3
10	Nottingham Forest	2	-1	3
11	Bournemouth	2	-2	3

We said: Everton 1-1 Nottingham Forest

Forest head into the fixture as the favourites with many people, and it is difficult to dispute that given the level of their new arrivals and Everton finding themselves under growing pressure. However, the Toffees usually find a way of rising to the occasion at Goodison Park, and we are backing them to claim a late share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 46.8%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Nottingham Forest
46.8% ( 0.03)	28.01% ( 0.02)	25.19% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 43.59% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.52% (

-0.07)

61.48% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.65% (

-0.05)

81.35% (

0.06)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

-0.02)

26.38% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.47% (

-0.03)

61.53% (

0.03)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.21% (

-0.08)

40.78% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.64% (

-0.07)

77.36% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Everton 46.8%

Nottingham Forest 25.19%

Draw 27.99%

Everton	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 46.8%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.99%	0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 25.19%