Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Manchester United | 4 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Liverpool | 4 | 8 | 5 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Brentford | 5 | 3 | 6 |
10 | Newcastle United | 4 | 2 | 6 |
11 | Manchester United | 4 | -3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 9.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Newcastle United |
77.1% ( -0.52) | 13.88% ( 0.32) | 9.03% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.57% ( -0.93) | 29.44% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.49% ( -1.14) | 50.51% ( 1.15) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.79% ( -0.29) | 6.21% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.53% ( -0.81) | 23.47% ( 0.82) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.06% ( -0.28) | 41.94% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.62% ( -0.24) | 78.38% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.4% Total : 77.09% | 1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.88% | 1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.95% Total : 9.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |