Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Everton |
36.2% ( 1.7) | 23% ( -0.18) | 40.8% ( -1.51) |
Both teams to score 65.17% ( 1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.98% ( 1.26) | 36.02% ( -1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.88% ( 1.37) | 58.12% ( -1.37) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.68% ( 1.44) | 20.32% ( -1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.3% ( 2.24) | 52.7% ( -2.24) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.78% ( -0.12) | 18.22% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.76% ( -0.2) | 49.24% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Everton |
2-1 @ 8% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.8% Total : 40.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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