Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 35

May 8, 2023 at 8pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
4 - 3
Southampton

Awoniyi (18', 21'), Gibbs-White (44' pen.), Danilo (73')
Lodi (78')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Alcaraz (25'), Lyanco (51'), Ward-Prowse (90+6' pen.)

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest move up to 16th place with a 4-3 victory against Southampton after a nervy finish at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Brentford 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Southampton
42.86% ( -0.34)	27.06% ( 0.14)	30.08% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 49.25% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.2% (

-0.47)

55.8% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.07% (

-0.38)

76.92% (

0.38)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.22% (

-0.39)

25.77% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.28% (

-0.52)

60.72% (

0.52)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.35% (

-0.1)

33.64% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.7% (

-0.11)

70.29% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 42.85%

Southampton 30.08%

Draw 27.05%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.85%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.08%