Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 31.95% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win is 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Gil Vicente |
31.95% ( -0.16) | 25.78% ( 0.02) | 42.27% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.97% ( -0.13) | 50.02% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.99% ( -0.12) | 72% ( 0.11) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% ( -0.17) | 29.38% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.63% ( -0.21) | 65.36% ( 0.2) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% ( 0.01) | 23.5% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.47% ( 0.01) | 57.53% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.95% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 42.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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