Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 83.92%. A draw has a probability of 10.1% and a win for Chaves has a probability of 5.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 3-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.38%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.32%), while for a Chaves win it is 1-2 (1.86%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
83.92% ( -3.44) | 10.1% ( 1.82) | 5.98% ( 1.63) |
Both teams to score 55.61% ( 3.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.92% ( -1.92) | 21.08% ( 1.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.38% ( -2.74) | 39.62% ( 2.74) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.45% ( -0.74) | 3.56% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.58% ( -2.55) | 15.42% ( 2.56) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.66% ( 3.64) | 42.35% ( -3.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.27% ( 2.98) | 78.73% ( -2.97) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
3-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.99) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.79) 4-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 5.19% ( -1.07) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.4) 5-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.4) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.48) 6-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.84) 4-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.23) 6-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.41) 5-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 7-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.52) 7-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.29) 6-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.66% Total : 83.92% | 1-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.61) 0-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.2% Total : 10.1% | 1-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.29) Other @ 2.83% Total : 5.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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