Desperate Abha at home is a tricky test for Al Ittihad despite the visitors' historical dominance. However, the hosts have struggled for goals in recent matches and look like a side lacking inspiration. Despite all this, we expect a close fight, but a narrow victory for Al Ittihad is the likely result here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 0-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for an Abha win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Abha	Draw	Al Ittihad
15.13% ( -0.17)	18.06% ( -0.2)	66.82% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 58.95% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.54% (

0.62)

33.46% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.75% (

0.71)

55.25% (

-0.7)

Abha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.98% (

0.19)

35.02% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.24% (

0.2)

71.76% (

-0.2)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.72% (

0.25)

9.28% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.66% (

0.6)

31.34% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Abha 15.13%

Al Ittihad 66.82%

Draw 18.06%

Abha	Draw	Al Ittihad
2-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 15.13%	1-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.06%	1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 7.64% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 2.16% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 2-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.76% Total : 66.82%