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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
3 - 1
Al Fayha

Hamdallah (30'), Al-Ghamdi (45+2'), Al-Sahafi (90+4')
Al-Ghamdi (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sabiri (25' pen.)
Al-Khaibari (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Fayha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fateh 2-4 Al Ittihad
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al Fayha

While Al Ittihad are likely to remain without their French international Karim Benzema for this match, Abderrazak Hamdallah has stepped up in a big way and will be looking to add to his 17-goal tally for the season in this one. Al Fayha deserve to be respected here but we feel the hosts will edge the result by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Fayha
61.84% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 20.13% (-0.041 -0.04) 18.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.84% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09% (0.095999999999997 0.1)37.9% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83% (0.10400000000001 0.1)60.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.2% (0.054000000000002 0.05)11.79% (-0.054 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.99% (0.115 0.12)37.01% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.13% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 61.84%
    Al Fayha 18.02%
    Draw 20.13%
Al IttihadDrawAl Fayha
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.53% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 61.84%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.13%
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 18.02%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Fayha

Al Ittihad
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Al Fayha
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 8
Al Fayha
0-0
Al Ittihad
Kareem Al Baqawi (70')
Hamdallah (79'), Kadesh (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal32293096217590
2Al-Nassr32253494385678
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli31177761342758
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun311410748341452
5Al Ittihad32156115749851
6Al Ettifaq32111294233945
7Al Fayha321110114350-743
8Al Fateh32119125351242
9Al ShababAl Shabab31118124238441
10Damac321010124240240
11Al Khaleej32910133443-937
12Al RaedAl Raed3298154048-835
13Al WahdaAl Wahda32105174357-1435
14Al Tai3287173359-2631
15Al Riyadh3179152853-2530
16Al Okhdood3285193051-2129
17Abha3185183479-4529
18Al Hazem31311173072-4220


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