Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
2 - 0
St Mirren

Shankland (33', 49')
Atkinson (66'), Halkett (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gogic (2'), Tanser (22'), Boyd-Munce (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Celtic 0-2 Hearts
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Mirren

All competitions

Last Game: St Mirren 0-0 Motherwell
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

With little to split these two teams in the league, it will likely be a cagey fixture on Saturday with neither wanting to give too much away. Considering the lack of goals that they tend to score, a goalless draw could be the way this game unfolds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	St Mirren
45.21% ( 0.17)	24.58% ( -0.03)	30.21% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 57.2% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.48% (

0.05)

45.52% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15% (

0.04)

67.85% (

-0.05)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.77% (

0.09)

20.23% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.44% (

0.15)

52.56% (

-0.16)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

-0.08)

28.29% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98% (

-0.1)

64.01% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Hearts 45.21%

St Mirren 30.21%

Draw 24.57%

Hearts	Draw	St Mirren
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.21%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.57%	1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.21%