Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 9

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Livingston

Armstrong (16'), Vassell (42', 60')
Watson (38'), Lyons (50')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kelly (35' pen.)
Devlin (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Celtic 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Livingston

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Livingston 2-0 Motherwell
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Livingston

Kilmarnock will be confident that they can find the back of the net in this game against a team that has looked defensively susceptible at times. However, Livingston have looked the stronger team throughout the season, and that in itself should lead to them taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Livingston
48.51% ( -0.06)	25.72% ( 0.02)	25.77% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.38% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.05% (

-0.06)

52.95% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.44% (

-0.05)

74.55% (

0.06)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.15% (

-0.05)

21.84% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

-0.08)

55.07% (

0.08)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.46% (

-0)

35.53% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.7% (

-0)

72.3% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 48.5%

Livingston 25.77%

Draw 25.71%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.5%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 25.77%