Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20

Dec 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
0 - 1
Kilmarnock

Taylor (33'), Gogic (59'), Baccus (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Watkins (25')
Findlay (74'), Deas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Last Game: Hearts 2-0 St Mirren
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: St Mirren 1-1 Kilmarnock

While St Mirren have seen a drop-off in performance lately, they have maintained a very good home record this season. The visitors, in contrast, have been good recently, but their away form has been far from impressive. This looks like a very even contest in the making, and we feel there will be nothing to split these sides at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
44.31% ( 0.48)	27.27% ( -0.15)	28.42% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 47.79% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.75% (

0.41)

57.25% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.91% (

0.33)

78.09% (

-0.33)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.31% (

0.43)

25.69% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.39% (

0.58)

60.61% (

-0.59)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.31% (

-0.04)

35.69% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.54% (

-0.04)

72.46% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 44.3%

Kilmarnock 28.42%

Draw 27.26%

St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.2% Total : 44.3%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 28.42%