Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 8, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 0
Juventus

Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')
Diaz (55'), Tonali (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cuadrado (26'), Kean (90+4'), Paredes (90+4')

AC Milan up to third in Serie A with two-goal victory over Juventus

AC Milan move into third position in the Serie A table courtesy of a 2-0 victory over Juventus at San Siro.

Oct 8, 18:58

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 3-1 Maccabi Haifa
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Juventus

Milan and Juventus are two of the three teams to have lost the fewest Serie A matches in 2022 - and they could not be split in either of their meetings last term. Only twice before have they drawn three times in a row, but such a result could be on the cards as the champions are still weakened by numerous injuries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Juventus
61.56% ( 0.02)	22.41% ( -0.01)	16.02% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.23% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.74% (

-0.02)

51.26% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.91% (

-0.02)

73.09% (

0.02)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.82% (

16.18% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.34%

45.65%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.16% (

-0.04)

44.84% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.19% (

-0.03)

80.8% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 61.55%

Juventus 16.02%

Draw 22.4%

AC Milan	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.89% Total : 61.55%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.4%	0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.02%