Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Empoli win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | AC Milan |
16.33% ( -0) | 19.7% ( -0) | 63.98% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.74% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.05% ( 0.01) | 38.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.73% ( 0.01) | 61.27% ( -0.01) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63% | 37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.22% | 73.79% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.47% ( 0) | 11.53% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.56% ( 0.01) | 36.44% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 4.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.28% Total : 16.33% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.7% | 0-2 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.91% 0-5 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 4.11% Total : 63.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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