Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 9.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Empoli |
74.36% ( 1.04) | 16.13% ( -0.62) | 9.51% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 47.22% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.58% ( 1.63) | 39.42% ( -1.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.24% ( 1.69) | 61.76% ( -1.68) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.93% ( 0.66) | 9.07% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.15% ( 1.56) | 30.85% ( -1.56) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.93% ( 0.24) | 48.07% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.72% ( 0.18) | 83.28% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Empoli |
2-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.49) 3-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.22) 5-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.81% Total : 74.34% | 1-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 16.13% | 0-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.33% Total : 9.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |