Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Napoli |
19.53% | 21.76% | 58.71% |
Both teams to score 54.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.99% | 43.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.59% | 65.41% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.17% | 35.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.4% | 72.6% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.67% | 14.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.83% | 42.17% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 5.27% 2-1 @ 5.26% 2-0 @ 2.71% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.75% 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.83% Total : 19.53% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.13% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.75% | 0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.69% 1-3 @ 6.44% 0-3 @ 6.28% 2-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 3.13% 0-4 @ 3.05% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 1.22% 0-5 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.9% Total : 58.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |