Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 11, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
4 - 0
Salernitana

Bonaventura (31'), Vlahovic (51', 84'), Maleh (90')
Milenkovic (11')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kastanos (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Fiorentina 4-1 Salernitana

The contrasting combination of Fiorentina's relentless attack and Salernitana's inability to defend suggests only one outcome in the Tuscan capital, as the hosts should hit the net multiple times. Though old warrior Franck Ribery will be determined to shine again on the Florentine stage, his lesser-known teammates are finding the adaptation to life in the elite a little too hot to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Salernitana
66.61%	19.53%	13.85%

Both teams to score 50.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.61%

43.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.21%

65.79%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.88%

12.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.3%

37.69%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.93%

43.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.65%

79.35%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 66.6%

Salernitana 13.85%

Draw 19.53%

Fiorentina	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 11.62% 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 6.89% 4-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-0 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.38% Total : 66.6%	1-1 @ 9.28% 0-0 @ 5.22% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.91% Total : 19.53%	0-1 @ 4.4% 1-2 @ 3.91% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.16% 1-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.44% Total : 13.85%