Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Dec 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
0 - 0
Atalanta

Sturaro (19'), Badelj (41')

Freuler (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Genoa 1-2 Atalanta BC

Fuelled by their failure at the weekend, Atalanta can press on towards the top of the table by closing out the first part of the season with another away win. The chance to establish themselves as Scudetto contenders certainly presents itself in the coming weeks, as after facing Genoa - whom they should beat by exploiting their weaknesses out wide and at the back - they meet Torino and Udinese just after the brief winter break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Atalanta BC
17.99%	20.73%	61.28%

Both teams to score 55.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.26%

40.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.88%

63.12%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.85%

36.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.07%

72.93%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.18%

12.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.84%

39.16%

Score Analysis

Genoa 17.99%

Atalanta BC 61.28%

Draw 20.73%

Genoa	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 4.93% 1-0 @ 4.72% 2-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.55% Total : 17.99%	1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 5.06% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.73%	1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 9.52% 1-3 @ 6.81% 0-3 @ 6.7% 1-4 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 3.47% 0-4 @ 3.44% 2-4 @ 1.78% 1-5 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.5% Total : 61.28%