Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 5, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 0
Atalanta

Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Torino 0-2 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Next Game: Roma vs. Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	37	19	63
6	Roma	38	15	63
7	Atalanta BC	37	18	59

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Atalanta
Sunday, May 15 at 5pm in Serie A

Next Game: Atalanta vs. Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Roma	38	15	63
7	Atalanta BC	37	18	59
8	Fiorentina	37	6	59

Both sides' strengths and frailties are well known to each other, but Atalanta's attacking might has largely been replaced by a more disciplined defensive approach of late - particularly in high-profile clashes with Inter, Lazio and Juventus. Each of those games produced either goalless or low-scoring draws, and another could be in the offing against Roma this week, as their hosts are always vulnerable versus Calcio's top sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
32.86%	23.71%	43.43%

Both teams to score 61.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.65%

40.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.27%

62.73%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89%

24.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.6%

58.41%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.11%

18.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.63%

50.37%

Score Analysis

Roma 32.86%

Atalanta BC 43.43%

Draw 23.71%

Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.68% 1-0 @ 6.48% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.86%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.71%	1-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 5% 2-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.42% Total : 43.43%