Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
0 - 1
Atalanta

Mourinho (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Scalvini (35')
Maehle (23'), Toloi (47'), Hateboer (55'), Demiral (76'), de Roon (80'), Koopmeiners (87'), Malinovskyi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Udinese	6	6	13
5	Roma	6	2	13
6	Inter Milan	6	4	12

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Cremonese
Sunday, September 11 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Napoli	6	9	14
2	Atalanta BC	6	7	14
3	AC Milan	6	6	14

While their visitors are clearly benefiting from empty midweeks, having failed to qualify for Europe last term, Roma were able to cruise through the latter stages of their Thursday night match after HJK's captain was sent off. Therefore, the combination of home advantage and greater individual ability up front should decide a closely contested affair in the Giallorossi's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
45.23% ( 0.62)	28.15% ( -0.17)	26.63% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 44.29% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.86% (

0.33)

61.14% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.9% (

0.25)

81.1% (

-0.25)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98% (

0.48)

27.02% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.62% (

0.62)

62.38% (

-0.62)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.69% (

-0.2)

39.31% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.98% (

-0.19)

76.02% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Roma 45.23%

Atalanta BC 26.63%

Draw 28.14%

Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.83% Total : 45.23%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 26.63%