Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Jan 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona

Hellas Verona
2 - 1
Bologna

Caprari (38'), Kalinic (85')
Simeone (43'), Gunter (60')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Orsolini (14')
Skorupski (27'), Binks (45+1'), Sansone (49'), Hickey (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Hellas Verona 2-1 Bologna

With this being a game between a club who is inconsistent and another that are out of form, we cannot predict a winner with any great certainty. Nevertheless, with home form and a couple of recent wins in their favour, Verona appear most likely to get over the line by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hellas Verona in this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Bologna
49.2%	23.72%	27.08%

Both teams to score 57.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.41%

43.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.01%

65.99%

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16%

17.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.41%

48.6%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48%

29.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46%

65.54%

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 49.2%

Bologna 27.08%

Draw 23.72%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Bologna
2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 5.49% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.68% Total : 49.2%	1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 6.76% 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 3.92% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.27% Total : 27.08%