Underestimating Israel against Brazil was a fatal mistake, and with the European runners-up scoring in all of their World Cup games so far, another upset is not beyond the realm of possibility. Uruguay could have also done without a fresh injury concern at the back, but Broli's men have history on their side - as well as a formula for defensive success - and Israel's magical run may finally be brought to an end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay Under-20s win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Israel Under-20s had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Israel Under-20s win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay Under-20s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uruguay Under-20s.

Result
Uruguay Under-20s	Draw	Israel Under-20s
43.67%	26.75%	29.58%

Both teams to score 49.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.19%

54.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.89%

76.11%

Uruguay Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08%

24.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.46%

59.54%

Israel Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.5%

33.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.87%

70.13%

Score Analysis

Uruguay Under-20s 43.66%

Israel Under-20s 29.58%

Draw 26.74%

Uruguay Under-20s	Draw	Israel Under-20s
1-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.66%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 9.13% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.58%