Under-20s World Cup | Round of 16

May 30, 2023 at 10pm UK

Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

Uzbekistan U20s
0 - 1
Israel U20s

FT(HT: 0-0)

Khalaili (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Under-20 World Cup clash between Uzbekistan Under-20s and Israel Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan Under-20s

Last Game: Uzbekistan U20s 2-0 Guatemala U20s
Friday, May 26 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup

Israel Under-20s

Last Game: Japan U20s 1-2 Israel U20s
Saturday, May 27 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup

We said: Uzbekistan Under-20s 1-1 Israel Under-20s (a.e.t, Israel to win on penalties)

There was barely anything to separate Uzbekistan and Israel during their average group-stage runs, with both sides securing four points and conceding four goals, and a closely-fought last-16 affair should transpire on Tuesday night. It is nigh-on impossible to pick a clear winner over 90 or 120 minutes, but with Israel's prospects brimming with big-game experience from their run to the Under-19 Euros final last year, Haim's side can hold their nerve from 12 yards to advance to the quarters and send Uzbekistan packing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan Under-20s win with a probability of 63.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Israel Under-20s had a probability of 14.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Israel Under-20s win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Uzbekistan Under-20s	Draw	Israel Under-20s
63.58% ( -0.31)	22.22% ( 0.04)	14.2% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 42.78% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.34% (

0.36)

53.66% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.84% (

0.3)

75.15% (

-0.3)

Uzbekistan Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67% (

0.02)

16.33% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.08% (

0.04)

45.92% (

-0.03)

Israel Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.13% (

0.63)

48.87% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.13% (

0.44)

83.86% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Uzbekistan Under-20s 63.57%

Israel Under-20s 14.2%

Draw 22.21%

Uzbekistan Under-20s	Draw	Israel Under-20s
1-0 @ 14.46% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 63.57%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.21%	0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.73% Total : 14.2%