With the greatest respect to Uruguay's previous opponents, Italy will present much more of a challenge to La Celeste's rearguard mettle, and England proved in the group stage that Broli's men can indeed be worn down. The Azzurrini's defending has been far from exemplary too, so extra time may be required to settle Sunday's final, where Nunziata's difference-makers such as Casadei and Pafundi can step up to propel Italy to their maiden Under-20 World Cup crown and inflict a third successive final defeat on the unfortunate Uruguayans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Uruguay Under-20s had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Uruguay Under-20s	Draw	Italy Under-20s
31.4%	26.38%	42.22%

Both teams to score 51.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.31%

52.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.67%

74.33%

Uruguay Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9%

31.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.58%

67.42%

Italy Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29%

24.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75%

59.24%

Score Analysis

Uruguay Under-20s 31.4%

Italy Under-20s 42.22%

Draw 26.38%

Uruguay Under-20s	Draw	Italy Under-20s
1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 2% Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.4%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38%	0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.22%