Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Feb 26, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 1
Racing

Ramirez (7' pen., 30'), Gigliotti (79')
Morales (2'), Fagundez (27'), Rodriguez (33'), Trezza (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Alaniz (72')
Rivero (26'), Rey (57'), J (62'), Rodriguez (66'), Ospitaleche (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Plaza Colonia 2-1 Nacional
Saturday, February 18 at 10.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions

Last Game: Racing 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, February 19 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Racing de Montevideo
49.36% ( 0.17)	28.43% ( -0.11)	22.2% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 39.94% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.3% (

0.3)

64.7% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.32% (

0.21)

83.68% (

-0.21)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.38% (

0.22)

26.61% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.15% (

0.3)

61.84% (

-0.3)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.43% (

0.13)

45.56% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.62% (

0.1)

81.38% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Nacional 49.36%

Racing de Montevideo 22.2%

Draw 28.42%

Nacional	Draw	Racing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 16.05% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 49.36%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.42%	0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.68% Total : 22.2%