World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 2nd Leg

Mar 29, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Tunisia
0 - 0
Mali

(Tunisia win 1-0 on aggregate)

Ben Said (90+3')

Kouyate (55'), Bissouma (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

Last Six:

Last Game: Botswana 0-0 Tunisia
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Tunisia vs. Libya
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Mali

Last Six:

Last Game: Mali 4-0 Congo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: South Sudan vs. Mali
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

With a first-leg victory in the bag, Tunisia will be looking to complete the job and keep their World Cup dreams alive. While we expect Mali to come out guns blazing, we predict the Carthage Eagles will cancel out their efforts and hold out for a share of the spoils and win the tie on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Mali had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Mali win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Mali
41.88%	24.53%	33.59%

Both teams to score 58.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.98%

44.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.6%

66.4%

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9%

21.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07%

53.93%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56%

25.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75%

60.25%

Score Analysis

Tunisia 41.88%

Mali 33.59%

Draw 24.53%

Tunisia	Draw	Mali
2-1 @ 8.89% 1-0 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.88%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.59%