Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Villarreal |
33.01% ( -0.41) | 28.12% ( 0.1) | 38.87% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.07% ( -0.41) | 58.93% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.58% ( -0.32) | 79.41% ( 0.32) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.82% ( -0.5) | 33.18% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.21% ( -0.55) | 69.79% ( 0.55) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.55% ( -0.02) | 29.45% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.54% ( -0.02) | 65.46% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.01% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1% 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 38.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |