La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona3 - 0Rayo Vallecano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-2 Girona
Monday, February 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, February 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, February 18 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, February 18 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Girona 2-0 Rayo Vallecano
Girona desperately need to bounce back from their successive defeats, and we are expecting the Catalan side to be victorious here. Rayo will have been boosted by their draw with Real Madrid, but Girona should have enough quality to pick up a much-needed three points on Monday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
52.42% ( 0.32) | 24.11% ( 0.11) | 23.47% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
