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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Villarreal logo

Sevilla
1 - 1
Villarreal

Salas (75')
Sow (45+3'), Sanchez (52'), Rakitic (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luis Morales (77')
Pedraza (45'), Marcelino (46'), Altimira (54'), Reina (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 2-3 PSV
Wednesday, November 29 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Villarreal 3-2 Panathinaikos
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Villarreal

This is a really difficult match to call, especially as both sides will enter it off the back of European assignments. Neither team have particularly impressed in the league this season, and with both missing some important players, we can see the points being shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SevillaDrawVillarreal
36.99% (2.1 2.1) 24.78% (0.386 0.39) 38.23% (-2.486 -2.49)
Both teams to score 58.55% (-1.126 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37% (-1.575 -1.58)44.63% (1.575 1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33% (-1.539 -1.54)67% (1.539 1.54)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (0.425 0.42)23.8% (-0.426 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.03% (0.605 0.61)57.97% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (-1.917 -1.92)23.15% (1.918 1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (-2.888 -2.89)57.03% (2.887 2.89)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 36.99%
    Villarreal 38.23%
    Draw 24.78%
SevillaDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.295 0.3)
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.617 0.62)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.507 0.51)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.188 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.273 0.27)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 36.99%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.366 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.278 -0.28)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.314 -0.31)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.23%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Villarreal

Sevilla
23.3%
Draw
30.2%
Villarreal
46.5%
43
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 30
Sevilla
2-1
Villarreal
Mir (34'), En-Nesyri (90+4')
Torres (55')
Sep 18, 2022 3.15pm
May 8, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Villarreal
1-1
Sevilla
Lo Celso (86')
Chukwueze (4'), Lo Celso (45'), Capoue (73')
Kounde (90+5')
Dec 4, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 16
Sevilla
1-0
Villarreal
Ocampos (16')
Rakitic (45+3'), Mir (57')

Albiol (61'), Dia (90+2')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 37
Villarreal
4-0
Sevilla
Bacca (34', 47', 79'), Moreno (66')

Carlos (29'), Acuna (51')
Carlos (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
RCadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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