Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Getafe |
56.08% ( 0) | 23.58% ( -0) | 20.34% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.45% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.32% ( 0.02) | 49.67% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.31% ( 0.02) | 71.68% ( -0.02) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.46% ( 0.01) | 17.53% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.93% ( 0.01) | 48.06% ( -0.02) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.18% ( 0.01) | 38.81% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.45% ( 0.01) | 75.54% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.68% Total : 56.07% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.45% Total : 20.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |