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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Milan logo

Torino
3 - 1
AC Milan

Zapata (26'), Ilic (40'), Rodriguez (46')
Ricci (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bennacer (55' pen.)
Tomori (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Torino
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 AC Milan

Only runaway champions Inter have scored more away goals than Milan's 20 this calendar year, but Torino are capable of frustrating them: a low-scoring draw is the likeliest outcome, as Toro do not lay out the red carpet for their visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.03%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawAC Milan
35.92% (-0.164 -0.16) 28.06% (-0.118 -0.12) 36.03% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.63% (0.357 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.54% (0.44 0.44)58.47% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95% (0.342 0.34)79.05% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (0.11800000000001 0.12)31.03% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (0.136 0.14)67.34% (-0.134 -0.13)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.401 0.4)30.96% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.468 0.47)67.25% (-0.467 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.92%
    AC Milan 36.03%
    Draw 28.06%
TorinoDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.92%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.6% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.03%

How you voted: Torino vs AC Milan

Torino
16.9%
Draw
27.7%
AC Milan
55.4%
166
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Torino
Pulisic (33'), Giroud (43' pen., 65' pen.), Hernandez (45+2')
Hernandez (39'), Thiaw (70')
Schuurs (36')
Ilic (11'), Juric (50+50'), Milinkovic-Savic (56'), Linetty (89')
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (62')
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
0-1
Torino
Adopo (114')
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Torino
2-1
AC Milan
Djidji (35'), Miranchuk (37')
Messias (67')
Apr 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Torino
0-0
AC Milan
Lukic (14'), Pobega (31'), Juric (61')
Tomori (18'), Kalulu (36'), Pioli (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916


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